
How good have models been at predicting ENSO in the 21st …
Feb 27, 2025 · In the, roughly, 250 years of the ENSO Blog and our 3.4 million posts, we’ve discussed ad nauseum how complicated El Niño and La Niña are, and how difficult it is to forecast all of the ENSO nuances. Heck, I even wrote a three-part series 75 years ago that evaluated all of our seasonal forecasts (ok, it was 2014-2015 but it still feels that long ago).
March 2025 ENSO update: neutral conditions expected soon
3 days ago · La Niña conditions persisted through February, but forecasters expect ENSO-neutral conditions to develop in the next month and persist through the Northern Hemisphere summer.. ENSO. La Niña is the cool phase of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation, or ENSO, a pattern of changes in the tropical Pacific Ocean and the atmospheric circulation over the tropical Pacific that persists for many months.
El Niño & La Niña (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) - NOAA …
Feb 24, 2024 · El Niño and La Niña are the warm and cool phases of a natural climate pattern across the tropical Pacific known as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, or “ENSO” for short.
El Niño–Southern Oscillation and its impact in the changing …
Apr 17, 2018 · El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a powerful climate phenomenon that exerts profound impacts on the global climate and accounts for the major skill source of seasonal-to-inter-annual climate prediction.
ENSO's impact on Antarctic sea ice predictability: A study on linear ...
2 days ago · The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the most prominent interannual climate variability signal, has been widely studied for its teleconnections with Antarctic sea ice variability. However ...
The rise and fall of the Hanseatic League - Works in Progress
2 days ago · The Hansa appealed their case directly to the king and also, perhaps not coincidentally, loaned the king about 500 marks. They won the appeal. The Hansa’s financial leverage over the crown became even more important at the start of the Hundred Years’ War in 1337. Edward III urgently needed funds to wage the war.
Changing El Niño–Southern Oscillation in a warming climate
Aug 17, 2021 · This Review brings together knowledge of ENSO in a warming climate, revealing projected increases in ENSO magnitude, as well as ENSO-related rainfall and sea surface temperature variability.
Linking Projected Changes in Seasonal Climate Predictability and ENSO ...
Jan 10, 2025 · We estimate the potential predictability of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) as well as global surface temperature, precipitation, and upper-atmospheric circulation anomalies from 1921 to 2100, within a perfect model framework, using five coupled model large ensembles.
Dramatic ENSO related Southwestern Atlantic ecosystem shifts
Mar 6, 2025 · ENSO (El Niño Southern Oscillation) events are becoming more frequent and more intense as climate change continues. Although ENSO effects are known to propagate into the southwest Atlantic ...
(PDF) ENSO Modeling: History, Progress, and Challenges
Nov 4, 2020 · In this chapter we review the history of ENSO modeling, showing the gradual improvement of models since the pioneering studies of the 1980s and 1990s and describing the existing hierarchy of...