Model suggests voter turnout alone can predict election victory margins
Elections are a well-documented example of collective human decision-making, with voting data available for elections ...
Democrats see small wins in low-key races, fueling hopes for November
Democrats are already seeing some small victories in under-the-radar races in the beginning of 2025, with the party hoping ...
New Jersey Globe2d
How Trump came within six points of winning New Jersey
This story was originally published on December 23, 2024. Vice President Kamala Harris, the last-minute replacement on the Democratic ticket for President ...
Coalition leading narrowly in four polls and would likely win an election held now
All polls have the Coalition leading by about 51–49. Labor had a better result (a 50–50 tie) from Morgan two weeks ago, but ...
How Americans really feel about deporting immigrants – 3 charts explain the conflicting headlines from recent polls
These polls suggest that over the past eight years, Americans’ overall support for mass deportation has increased from around 22% to around 44%. Meanwhile, support for legalizing immigrants’ status ...