Each row represents a different model. The three bottom rows are Llama models from Meta. And as you can see, Llama 3.1 70B—a mid-sized model Meta released in July 2024—is far more likely to reproduce ...

A discrete distribution is a statistical probability distribution that represents the possible discrete values a variable can take.

A probability distribution is a statistical model that shows the possible outcomes of a particular event or course of action as well as the statistical likelihood of each event.

A probability distribution, usually displayed graphically, shows the relative likelihood of all possible outcomes occurring within a specific time period.

All of statistics and much of science depends on probability—an astonishing achievement, considering no one’s really sure what it is ...

The maze of oil rigs, pipelines, cables and other offshore installations are vulnerable to submarine landslides. The ability ...

The further a model gets out on the tail of the probability distribution, the more evidence you ought to demand from it — and the more you ought to assume it was wrong rather than “unlucky ...

The t -distribution has fatter tails (think of them as big lips flaring out on the bell). This mostly makes a difference for very low-probability events.