The dots are not a great forecaster of future rate moves,” Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has warned, but every ...

The dot plot was invented in late 2011, at a time when Fed officials were considering how to prepare markets for the shift ...

The Federal Reserve is all but certain to announce no change in interest rates after its two-day policy meeting ends today. What matters more is how many cuts policymakers indicate they expect to make ...

The last few years have undermined both premises. All the dot plot really does is make plain that many economic variables are entirely unpredictable and that the Fed does not have a better crystal ...

When the Fed decided to make the dot plot public in January 2012, it made sense. The world was just beginning to heal from the crippling 2008 financial crisis and Great Recession.

The dot plot will show Fed policymakers’ estimates for interest rates at the end of the next several years and over the longer run. The forecasts are represented by dots arranged along a ...

The Federal Reserve's latest dot plot (page 4)For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org.Music by Drop Electric.

While the Fed’s dot plot can be used as a tool for broadly understanding whether our economy is shrinking or growing, it’s not as useful for consumers who are trying to decide when to take out ...

Every three months since January 2012, the Federal Reserve has sent analysts scurrying by updating its “dot plot,” which has become the de facto monetary policy forecast of the US central bank ...

The dot plot, decoded. When the central bank releases its Summary of Economic Projections each quarter, Fed watchers focus obsessively on one part in particular: the so-called dot plot.